TLDR A Polymarket account bought 171,703 Arizona Cardinals shares at 1.4 cents with Arizona down 27-17 and 3:54 left. The Cardinals beat the Dallas Cowboys 33-30 in overtime. The account hedged its position and finished about $118,500 ahead on the moneyline. Polymarket and Kalshi prices implied just 1% to 2% odds of an Arizona win. Top sports trader BreakTheBank made about $215,000 on Arizona and ended Sunday roughly $625,000 ahead.
A Polymarket account turned a long-shot bet on the Arizona Cardinals into a profit of about $118,500 on Sunday. The account bought Cardinals shares at 1.4 cents each while Arizona trailed the Dallas Cowboys by 10 points with under four minutes left.
Arizona came back to win 33-30 in overtime. The account hedged its position several times during the game before collecting its payout.
A 1.4-Cent Bet With 3:54 Left
The account, trading under the name CutJalenHurts, bought 171,703 Cardinals shares at 1.4 cents apiece. The order cost about $2,475.
The purchase came about a minute after Dallas kicker Brandon Aubrey made a 35-yard field goal. That kick put the Cowboys up 27-17 with 3:54 left in the game.
The price matched the wider market at the time. Polymarket’s moneyline traded at about 1.5 cents in the minutes after the field goal, while Kalshi’s Cardinals contract traded as low as 1 cent. Those prices implied odds of 1% to 2% for an Arizona win.
Gardner Minshew II then threw a 14-yard touchdown pass to Trey McBride with 2:11 left. Dallas recovered the onside kick, and Aubrey added a 41-yard field goal for a 30-24 lead with 1:09 to go.
Minshew then led Arizona on an 80-yard drive. He found Michael Wilson for a 13-yard touchdown with six seconds left.
Kicker Chad Ryland missed the extra point, which